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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026btnandb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)35% (3641–6649, n=10290)66% (42–22, n=64)63% (989–573, n=1562)47% (14165–15679, n=29844)
Consensus PnL$2.9M$55K$3.2M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #506PM monthly #559PM monthly #91PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus63% (17 of 27 open)70% (7 of 10 open)72% (54 of 75 open)54% (45 of 83 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won—67% of 42 at avg 53¢, ROI +14%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—26% (won 36% of 11)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢—14% (won 67% of 6)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢—33% (won 64% of 14)24% (won 58% of 314)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up—26% (won 100% of 11)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026btnandb1RN1
Ducks vs. Oilers
opposite sides · consensus Oilers
Ducks $21K——Oilers $649
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
UTSA $4.3K——Florida Atlantic $15K
Spread: UTSA (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus UTSA
Florida Atlantic $13K——UTSA $790
Spread: James Madison (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus James Madison
James Madison $9.7K——Southern Miss $34
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2K——Over $1.6K
Spread: UTSA (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
UTSA $103——Florida Atlantic $762
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $3——Under $326
Jaguars vs. Ravens
same side · consensus Jaguars
Jaguars $229K——Jaguars $7.6K
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Jaguars $51K——Jaguars $1.6K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $12K——Ravens $5.4K
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 44.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $3.7K——Under $3.2K
Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs Omar Jasika
same side · consensus Yuta Shimizu
Yuta Shimizu $4.3K——Yuta Shimizu $340
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 71.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.1K——Over $888
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $716——Ravens $1.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K——Over $360
Spread: James Madison (-14.5)
same side · consensus Southern Miss
Southern Miss $810——Southern Miss $434
Spread: Jaguars (-14.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
Jaguars $350——Jaguars $85
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $24——Over $231