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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026biying99999BreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)35% (3647–6671, n=10318)49% (124–131, n=255)45% (573–710, n=1283)47% (14123–15612, n=29735)
Consensus PnL$3.0M$14K$7.9M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #478was PM monthly #444PM monthly #3PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus61% (11 of 18 open)no open consensus position64% (18 of 28 open)50% (17 of 34 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +52 pts n=60, ROI +52%
  • NFL +48 pts n=38, ROI +46%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 111 at avg 50¢, ROI +49%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—0%11% (won 80% of 61)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢—54% (won 100% of 60)35% (won 98% of 203)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢—44% (won 100% of 49)35% (won 100% of 201)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up—2% (won 100% of 2)20% (won 100% of 115)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026biying99999BreakTheBankRN1
Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Zhibek Kulambayeva
opposite sides · consensus Mai Hontama
Zhibek Kulambayeva $6.2K——Mai Hontama $33K
Taranto: Adrian Andreev vs Matteo Martineau
opposite sides · consensus Matteo Martineau
Adrian Andreev $2.4K——Matteo Martineau $2.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.3K——Over $1.5K
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana
opposite sides · consensus Sorana Cirstea
Sorana Cirstea $650——Mary Stoiana $573
Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Remy Bertola
opposite sides · consensus Kilian Feldbausch
Remy Bertola $157——Kilian Feldbausch $251
Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig
opposite sides · consensus Matej Dodig
Matej Dodig $71——Tom Gentzsch $49
Taipei: Coleman Wong vs Chun-Chien Hou
same side · consensus Coleman Wong
Coleman Wong $5.2K——Coleman Wong $10K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.2K——Over $360