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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026FlaznorpHaradwaithprimm
Record (consensus markets)35% (3637–6660, n=10297)52% (6434–5955, n=12389)41% (3322–4804, n=8126)50% (1106–1117, n=2223)
Consensus PnL$3.0M$3.3M-$465K$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #629PM monthly #24PM monthly #281PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensus90% (9 of 10 open)74% (142 of 192 open)71% (705 of 992 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +3 pts n=10, ROI +20%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22Weather −6 pts, n=556—
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%39% of 3845 at avg 42¢, ROI −2%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 423)53% (won 3% of 2055)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 243)4% (won 35% of 170)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢—17% (won 62% of 255)5% (won 54% of 178)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up—38% (won 94% of 561)38% (won 89% of 1442)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026FlaznorpHaradwaithprimm
Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro
opposite sides · consensus Harold Mayot
Harold Mayot $31KSho Shimabukuro $6.6K——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $154Yes $2.6K——
Rolex Paris Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Carlos Alcaraz
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz $2.4K—Matteo Berrettini $34—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.6KUnder $14K——
Nepal Premier League: Lumbini Lions vs Janakpur Bolts
same side · consensus Lumbini Lions
Lumbini Lions $72Lumbini Lions $29——
ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: Bangladesh Under-19s vs Afghanistan Under-19s
same side · consensus Afghanistan Under-19s
Afghanistan Under-19s $32Afghanistan Under-19s $3——