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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xfe787d...d10319BreakTheBanktxwd9991UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)36% (3228–5686, n=8914)45% (571–700, n=1271)90% (136–15, n=151)50% (19440–19510, n=38950)
Consensus PnL$3.8M$9.4M-$18K$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #772PM monthly #1PM monthly #986PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus43% (3 of 7 open)52% (12 of 23 open)100% (1 of 1 open)58% (48 of 83 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • NBA +50 pts n=113, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +35 pts n=22, ROI +45%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%96% of 144 at avg 49¢, ROI +48%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)0%7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)63% (won 95% of 91)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)36% (won 98% of 52)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)1% (won 100% of 1)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xfe787d...d10319BreakTheBanktxwd9991UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.3K——Under $7.3K
Spread: Heat (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Clippers $1.1K—Heat $541—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.5K——Under $21K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $23——Yes $4.0K