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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ferrariChampions2026 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | peasant | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 35% (3647–6649, n=10296) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 63% (992–576, n=1568) | 57% (162–122, n=284) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.0M | $7.9M | $3.2M | $128K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #127 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #92 | PM monthly #535 |
| Sides with the consensus | 78% (7 of 9 open) | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 70% (52 of 74 open) | 57% (4 of 7 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | Politics −5 pts, n=51 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 58% of 273 at avg 57¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 21% (won 11% of 57) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 16% (won 38% of 45) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 23% (won 62% of 63) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 40% (won 89% of 108) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ferrariChampions2026 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | peasant |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $407K | No $335K | — |