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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankndb1NOO-Yes
Record (consensus markets)35% (3641–6649, n=10290)45% (572–710, n=1282)63% (989–573, n=1562)33% (2–4, n=6)
Consensus PnL$2.9M$7.9M$3.2M-$19K
Tracked asPM monthly #506PM monthly #2PM monthly #91was PM monthly #417
Sides with the consensus67% (18 of 27 open)77% (27 of 35 open)71% (54 of 76 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%33% of 6 at avg 37¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 82% of 60)13% (won 15% of 168)33% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 204)20% (won 39% of 256)33% (won 50% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 202)24% (won 58% of 314)33% (won 50% of 2)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 116)43% (won 93% of 550)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankndb1NOO-Yes
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
Jaguars $213KRavens $292K——
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Jaguars $39KRavens $194K——
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $763Over $1.3K——
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $407KNo $335K—
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $12KRavens $92K——
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $716Ravens $293——