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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ferrariChampions2026 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | twe2nty | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (11777–15355, n=27132) | 41% (616–869, n=1485) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 73% (194–71, n=265) |
| Consensus PnL | -$9.5M | $8.4M | $3.2M | -$19K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #905 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 88% (29 of 33 open) | no open consensus position | 77% (17 of 22 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | Geopolitics −5 pts, n=118 |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 72% of 259 at avg 72¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 20% (won 4% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 5% (won 8% of 13) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 5% (won 67% of 12) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 70% (won 97% of 181) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ferrariChampions2026 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | twe2nty |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $37K | — | Yes $11K |