Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankNewshoundRN1
Record (consensus markets)35% (3645–6670, n=10315)45% (573–710, n=1283)57% (797–601, n=1398)47% (14055–15545, n=29600)
Consensus PnL$3.0M$7.9M$40K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #699PM monthly #3PM monthly #909PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus73% (16 of 22 open)76% (26 of 34 open)37% (28 of 75 open)61% (20 of 33 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%72% of 984 at avg 60¢, ROI +9%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)22% (won 24% of 221)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)13% (won 64% of 124)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)18% (won 76% of 174)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)47% (won 95% of 465)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankNewshoundRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.6K——Over $1.5K
Taranto: Felix Gill vs Buvaysar Gadamauri
opposite sides · consensus Felix Gill
Buvaysar Gadamauri $237——Felix Gill $190
Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Remy Bertola
opposite sides · consensus Kilian Feldbausch
Remy Bertola $2——Kilian Feldbausch $259
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Tommy Paul
Tommy Paul $56K——Tommy Paul $32K
Chennai Open: Moyuka Uchijima vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Magda Linette
Magda Linette $18K——Magda Linette $8.5K
Taipei: Coleman Wong vs Chun-Chien Hou
same side · consensus Coleman Wong
Coleman Wong $5.2K——Coleman Wong $5.0K
Chennai Open: Simona Waltert vs Lucrezia Stefanini
same side · consensus Lucrezia Stefanini
Lucrezia Stefanini $4.6K——Lucrezia Stefanini $2.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K——Over $360
Taipei: Carl Overbeck vs Kasidit Samrej
same side · consensus Kasidit Samrej
Kasidit Samrej $171——Kasidit Samrej $161