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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ferrariChampions2026 | BreakTheBank | HerbertAppreciator | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 35% (3637–6660, n=10297) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 25% (31–95, n=126) | 47% (13877–15390, n=29267) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.0M | $9.4M | $146K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #629 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #364 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 90% (9 of 10 open) | 71% (24 of 34 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 52% (14 of 27 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 84% of 37 at avg 37¢, ROI +15% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 41% (won 67% of 15) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 32% (won 92% of 12) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 16% (won 100% of 6) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 11% (won 100% of 4) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ferrariChampions2026 | BreakTheBank | HerbertAppreciator | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $88K | Yes $5.7K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.6K | — | — | Over $1.5K |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $74K | Yes $138K | — |
| Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro same side · consensus Harold Mayot | Harold Mayot $17K | — | — | Harold Mayot $909 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $1.3K | — | — | Over $360 |