Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankFlaznorpRdogTest
Record (consensus markets)35% (3635–6656, n=10291)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6417–5939, n=12356)96% (44–2, n=46)
Consensus PnL$3.0M$9.4M$3.3M$20K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #772PM monthly #3PM monthly #22PM monthly #877
Sides with the consensus63% (5 of 8 open)85% (29 of 34 open)74% (129 of 175 open)93% (38 of 41 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 40 at avg 74¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)0%
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)5% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)33% (won 100% of 13)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)63% (won 100% of 25)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankFlaznorpRdogTest
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $154—Yes $2.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.6K—Under $14K—