Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xfda1fa1672697944f9e78479837fedac44e3416cfantasy7788keeptheblueflagflyinghighMD14
Record (consensus markets)75% (6–2, n=8)52% (16–15, n=31)48% (575–620, n=1195)81% (22–5, n=27)
Consensus PnL$849$795K$498K$328K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #164PM monthly #24PM monthly #17PM monthly #118
Sides with the consensus100% (2 of 2 open)100% (2 of 2 open)58% (61 of 106 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +20 pts n=17, ROI +16%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 17 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%92% of 24 at avg 71¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢—6% (won 100% of 1)6% (won 100% of 20)4% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—53% (won 100% of 9)36% (won 100% of 128)13% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 6)50% (won 100% of 175)21% (won 80% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up—6% (won 100% of 1)8% (won 100% of 28)63% (won 100% of 15)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xfda1fa1672697944f9e78479837fedac44e3416cfantasy7788keeptheblueflagflyinghighMD14
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
Mavericks $468—Cavaliers $9.8K—
Florida vs. Kentucky
same side · consensus Kentucky
Kentucky $515—Kentucky $11K—