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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled marketno settled market62% (13–8, n=21)69% (307–141, n=448)
Consensus PnL——-$16K-$40K
Tracked asPM monthly #327PM monthly #159PM monthly #74PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position73% (8 of 11 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +5 pts n=17, ROI +44%
  • NFL +51 pts n=11, ROI +48%
Weakest topic—NFL −8 pts, n=71——
Settled positions, side won100% of 26 at avg 82¢, ROI +13%54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1%100% of 11 at avg 49¢, ROI +48%100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢0%19% (won 10% of 96)9% (won 100% of 1)1% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢15% (won 100% of 4)21% (won 35% of 105)27% (won 100% of 3)26% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢4% (won 100% of 1)27% (won 54% of 132)64% (won 100% of 7)40% (won 100% of 95)
Entries 70¢ and up81% (won 100% of 21)33% (won 91% of 163)0%33% (won 100% of 80)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.