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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bBreakTheBanke46m3lastminwin
Record (consensus markets)no settled market96% (291–13, n=304)17% (155–752, n=907)86% (12–2, n=14)
Consensus PnL—$8.4M$536K$285K
Tracked asPM monthly #788PM monthly #1PM monthly #2PM monthly #102
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)82% (32 of 39 open)73% (313 of 427 open)74% (43 of 58 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
not computed yet
Weakest topic——Tech ±0 pts, n=36—
Settled positions, side won—95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%93% of 626 at avg 90¢, ROI +2%—
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 69% of 36)7% (won 11% of 46)—
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 97% of 116)1% (won 86% of 7)—
Entries 50–70¢—37% (won 99% of 124)1% (won 75% of 8)—
Entries 70¢ and up—17% (won 100% of 56)90% (won 100% of 565)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bBreakTheBanke46m3lastminwin
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $425KYes $11—
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $9No $201K
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $71K—No $15K
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $4No $75K
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $10No $72K
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $6No $55K
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $21No $31K
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $28KYes $108—
Will Teddy Riner win the 2027 French presidential election?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $32No $4.8K
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.4KYes $318—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $306KYes $108—
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $27KYes $10—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $19KYes $369—
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $13KYes $12—
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $4.6KYes $512—
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $5Yes $1.9K
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $7Yes $284
Will Ipswich Town win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $200Yes $4—
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $4Yes $135
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $49Yes $40—
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $8Yes $75