PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)51% (77–73, n=150)45% (501–606, n=1107)48% (11736–12517, n=24253)63% (379–224, n=603)
Consensus PnL$185K$12.1M$13.4M$4.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #943PM monthly #1Hand-pickedPM monthly #88
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position70% (23 of 33 open)66% (27 of 41 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won50% of 206 at avg 41¢, ROI +27%97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 23822 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 379 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢31% (won 31% of 64)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2463)9% (won 91% of 35)
Entries 30–50¢34% (won 51% of 71)35% (won 98% of 181)22% (won 94% of 5333)55% (won 99% of 209)
Entries 50–70¢31% (won 63% of 63)34% (won 99% of 176)36% (won 99% of 8660)34% (won 100% of 128)
Entries 70¢ and up4% (won 75% of 8)20% (won 100% of 105)31% (won 100% of 7366)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.