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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xecb1d3b9d240a8347415108882cb8fa1f7e2f1c4Flaznorpndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)64% (25–14, n=39)52% (6434–6029, n=12463)63% (993–578, n=1571)50% (1116–1127, n=2243)
Consensus PnL$4.7K$3.6M$4.8M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #892PM monthly #11PM monthly #95PM monthly #52
Sides with the consensus62% (13 of 21 open)74% (130 of 176 open)71% (52 of 73 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicElections −3 pts, n=20Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=144—
Settled positions, side won57% of 30 at avg 58¢, ROI +1%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢30% (won 0% of 9)29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 186)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 0% of 3)16% (won 40% of 255)19% (won 39% of 267)41% (won 99% of 418)
Entries 50–70¢7% (won 50% of 2)16% (won 62% of 260)23% (won 58% of 326)49% (won 99% of 504)
Entries 70¢ and up53% (won 100% of 16)39% (won 94% of 637)44% (won 94% of 619)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.