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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xd361529b833f79206cea905500ddb56574144ccdBreakTheBank00gringo00primm
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (514–627, n=1141)75% (6–2, n=8)49% (839–863, n=1702)
Consensus PnL—$10.4M$3.5M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #83PM monthly #1was PM monthly #19PM monthly #142
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position68% (27 of 40 open)no open consensus position68% (13 of 19 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%99% of 795 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 85% of 53)0%5% (won 93% of 42)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 181)0%41% (won 99% of 325)
Entries 50–70¢—34% (won 99% of 176)100% (won 86% of 7)49% (won 99% of 390)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 105)0%5% (won 100% of 38)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xd361529b833f79206cea905500ddb56574144ccdBreakTheBank00gringo00primm
Spread: Packers (-3.5)
same side · consensus Packers
—Packers $253K—Packers $1.2K