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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xce370ebcbc655f845df7dfb8c079e75b5ea17d93FlaznorpprimmS-Works
Record (consensus markets)50% (35–35, n=70)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)49% (1224–1251, n=2475)75% (2546–856, n=3402)
Consensus PnL-$4.7K$4.1M$3.6M$3.7M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #1000PM monthly #10PM monthly #51PM monthly #74
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position65% (97 of 149 open)no open consensus position67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won40% of 40 at avg 46¢, ROI −14%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢40% (won 6% of 16)29% (won 11% of 403)5% (won 94% of 51)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 20% of 5)16% (won 38% of 228)41% (won 99% of 421)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢20% (won 63% of 8)15% (won 62% of 214)49% (won 99% of 508)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up28% (won 82% of 11)40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 100% of 47)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.