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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xc5B50BreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)100% (1–0, n=1)45% (572–710, n=1282)47% (14165–15679, n=29844)
Consensus PnL$952$7.9M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #516PM monthly #2PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position79% (26 of 33 open)54% (44 of 82 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won100% of 1 at avg 98¢, ROI +2%97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0%10% (won 82% of 60)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢0%35% (won 98% of 204)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢0%35% (won 100% of 202)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up100% (won 100% of 1)20% (won 100% of 116)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xc5B50BreakTheBankRN1
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
—Ravens $292KJaguars $5.2K
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $194KJaguars $1.2K
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $837Jaguars $2.2K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $92KRavens $1.9K
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Warriors $1.7KWarriors $520
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $293Ravens $1.2K