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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xFF91872AfB50d2416A34D7f16D9dd366C4ef3644-1753435130372BreakTheBankgmpm2googleplay
Record (consensus markets)no settled market60% (12–8, n=20)50% (2–2, n=4)33% (2–4, n=6)
Consensus PnL—$779K-$6.1K$320K
Tracked asPM monthly #950PM monthly #1PM monthly #72PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position36% (5 of 14 open)no open consensus position0% (0 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
  • NBA +32 pts n=50, ROI +31%
Weakest topic——NBA −2 pts, n=33—
Settled positions, side won—95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%57% of 337 at avg 56¢, ROI +3%83% of 54 at avg 53¢, ROI +30%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 69% of 36)6% (won 32% of 19)0%
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 97% of 116)29% (won 48% of 97)19% (won 70% of 10)
Entries 50–70¢—37% (won 99% of 124)45% (won 55% of 150)76% (won 85% of 41)
Entries 70¢ and up—17% (won 100% of 56)21% (won 80% of 71)6% (won 100% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xFF91872AfB50d2416A34D7f16D9dd366C4ef3644-1753435130372BreakTheBankgmpm2googleplay
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers
same side · consensus Thunder
—Trail Blazers $2.9K—Trail Blazers $52K
Spread: Magic (-5.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Kings $53—Kings $47K