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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xE528676bc13DbB685E903E5672F38D4323e59F0B-1779887413099fantasy7788nigiri99
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (12–11, n=23)54% (345–290, n=635)
Consensus PnL$0$567K$403K
Tracked asPM monthly #946PM monthly #37PM monthly #105
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)51% (56 of 109 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +11 pts n=259, ROI +11%
  • Soccer +14 pts n=53, ROI +28%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—100% of 13 at avg 47¢, ROI +54%66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢—8% (won 100% of 1)14% (won 33% of 73)
Entries 30–50¢—54% (won 100% of 7)24% (won 56% of 125)
Entries 50–70¢—31% (won 100% of 4)43% (won 69% of 226)
Entries 70¢ and up—8% (won 100% of 1)18% (won 98% of 96)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xE528676bc13DbB685E903E5672F38D4323e59F0B-1779887413099fantasy7788nigiri99
Thunder vs. Clippers
same side · consensus Thunder
—Clippers $17KClippers $488