PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592GoalLineGhostRN1
Record (consensus markets)92% (701–62, n=763)59% (3007–2059, n=5066)49% (7039–7391, n=14430)
Consensus PnL$14.4M$26.8M$13.2M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #999PM monthly #133Hand-picked
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)56% (29 of 52 open)81% (17 of 21 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +31 pts n=3100, ROI +22%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won99% of 731 at avg 59¢, ROI +42%99% of 3100 at avg 68¢, ROI +22%92% of 20730 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢2% (won 100% of 14)9% (won 94% of 286)10% (won 49% of 2167)
Entries 30–50¢15% (won 97% of 113)11% (won 98% of 330)22% (won 92% of 4547)
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 99% of 477)22% (won 99% of 697)36% (won 98% of 7502)
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 100% of 127)58% (won 100% of 1787)31% (won 100% of 6514)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592GoalLineGhostRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $11KOver $1.4K
Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-10-25?
same side · consensus No
—No $6.0KNo $4.1K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.2KNo $2.4K
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-10-25?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.4KYes $3.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $1.6KUnder $1.1K