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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 8m1 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 61% (17–11, n=28) | 67% (455–225, n=680) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | — | $786K | -$137K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #38 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #44 + pinned | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 56% (5 of 9 open) | 52% (13 of 25 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% | 100% of 89 at avg 48¢, ROI +49% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 11% (won 100% of 10) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 26% (won 100% of 62) | 52% (won 100% of 46) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 40% (won 100% of 95) | 30% (won 100% of 27) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 33% (won 100% of 80) | 7% (won 100% of 6) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 8m1 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Thunder (-2.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Trail Blazers $41K | Trail Blazers $710 | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-4.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Trail Blazers $12K | Trail Blazers $113 | — |