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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x8260615ef0604c26712870c4A803936fea38A14b-1775226049986Flaznorpjoseph00677ndb1
Record (consensus markets)40% (14–21, n=35)52% (6434–6029, n=12463)45% (10–12, n=22)63% (993–578, n=1571)
Consensus PnL$60K$3.6M$5.3M$4.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #961PM monthly #11PM monthly #2PM monthly #97
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)75% (173 of 230 open)no open consensus position71% (52 of 73 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—NFL −9 pts, n=144
Settled positions, side won81% of 16 at avg 50¢, ROI +69%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢25% (won 50% of 4)29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 15% of 186)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 100% of 2)16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)19% (won 39% of 267)
Entries 50–70¢31% (won 80% of 5)16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 58% of 326)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 100% of 5)39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)44% (won 94% of 619)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.