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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x7d3b7ff761d046f5dc1d972e8a755dc1eccf55b8Flaznorpjoseph00677S-Works
Record (consensus markets)75% (98–33, n=131)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)43% (10–13, n=23)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL$23K$4.1M$3.3M$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #846PM monthly #9PM monthly #8PM monthly #73
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position70% (113 of 161 open)no open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won76% of 123 at avg 73¢, ROI +10%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢0%29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢2% (won 50% of 2)16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢42% (won 58% of 52)15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up56% (won 91% of 69)40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.