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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x7d3b7ff761d046f5dc1d972e8a755dc1eccf55b8BreakTheBankjoseph00677primm
Record (consensus markets)75% (98–33, n=131)41% (589–853, n=1442)43% (10–13, n=23)50% (1246–1260, n=2506)
Consensus PnL$23K$7.7M$3.3M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #846PM monthly #1PM monthly #8PM monthly #48
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position83% (44 of 53 open)no open consensus position62% (8 of 13 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won76% of 123 at avg 73¢, ROI +10%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢0%10% (won 82% of 60)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢2% (won 50% of 2)36% (won 98% of 212)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢42% (won 58% of 52)35% (won 100% of 205)65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up56% (won 91% of 69)20% (won 100% of 116)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x7d3b7ff761d046f5dc1d972e8a755dc1eccf55b8BreakTheBankjoseph00677primm
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $101K—Colts $94
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Colts $49K—Colts $5.7K