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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x7Ca02326c99bdf7D6d246546Fb0f259296D47344-1779887467048nigiri99VirIntrepidus
Record (consensus markets)no settled market53% (510–448, n=958)88% (15–2, n=17)
Consensus PnL$0$681K$475K
Tracked asPM monthly #982PM monthly #59was PM monthly #71
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position42% (30 of 72 open)40% (2 of 5 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—74% of 676 at avg 54¢, ROI +8%100% of 3 at avg 63¢, ROI +16%
Entries under 30¢—12% (won 40% of 83)33% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—23% (won 65% of 158)0%
Entries 50–70¢—44% (won 77% of 300)0%
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 99% of 135)67% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x7Ca02326c99bdf7D6d246546Fb0f259296D47344-1779887467048nigiri99VirIntrepidus
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Packers
—Packers $2.4KVikings $7.1K
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
—Patriots $6.0KLions $1.3K