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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x776f7fb93be970D678068E00674B54af0FF10478-1771711639781joseph00677ndb1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)16% (6–31, n=37)45% (10–12, n=22)63% (989–573, n=1562)50% (20844–20530, n=41374)
Consensus PnL$114K$5.3M$3.2M$3.2M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #951PM monthly #3PM monthly #90PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus position71% (54 of 76 open)70% (31 of 44 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic——NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won37% of 19 at avg 24¢, ROI +32%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢74% (won 14% of 14)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 15% of 168)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 100% of 2)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 39% of 256)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 100% of 2)65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 58% of 314)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 1)18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 550)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.