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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x709179E7392e59922Ab2D73cb1141698b30096f8-1773173619816ndb1primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)49% (5611–5770, n=11381)63% (990–573, n=1563)50% (1105–1116, n=2221)47% (14161–15670, n=29831)
Consensus PnL$25K$3.6M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #273PM monthly #92PM monthly #47PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)73% (53 of 73 open)80% (4 of 5 open)57% (31 of 54 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicCrypto −3 pts, n=368NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won88% of 6159 at avg 55¢, ROI +31%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 74% of 315)13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢40% (won 81% of 2471)20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 93% of 2205)24% (won 58% of 314)50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 99% of 1168)43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x709179E7392e59922Ab2D73cb1141698b30096f8-1773173619816ndb1primmRN1
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $83——No $2.5K
Spread: James Madison (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss
——James Madison $1.4KSouthern Miss $268