← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| lucianow34 | Flaznorp | ndb1 | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (625–479, n=1104) | 52% (7711–7000, n=14711) | 63% (1095–632, n=1727) | 75% (2542–853, n=3395) |
| Consensus PnL | $16K | $4.1M | $4.6M | $3.7M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #908 | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #111 | PM monthly #73 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 70% (85 of 121 open) | 71% (70 of 98 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NBA −4 pts, n=26 | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 60% of 1039 at avg 53¢, ROI +4% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 24% of 55) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 34% (won 44% of 351) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 49% (won 69% of 508) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 12% (won 86% of 125) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.