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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Novelty8 | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 73% (633–230, n=863) | 52% (7739–7030, n=14769) | 43% (10–13, n=23) |
| Consensus PnL | -$69K | $4.1M | $3.3M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #417 | PM monthly #16 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 75% (86 of 114 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 463 at avg 88¢, ROI +4% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 100% of 5) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 9% (won 98% of 41) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 100% of 51) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 79% (won 100% of 366) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Novelty8 | Flaznorp | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming | Bilibili Gaming $12K | Bilibili Gaming $273 | — |