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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | ndb1 | UnderperformingForALiving | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 66% (876–458, n=1334) | 40% (67–102, n=169) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | $4.1M | $239K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #26 | PM monthly #205 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 72% (28 of 39 open) | 67% (2 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | NBA −24 pts, n=13 |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 50% of 170 at avg 52¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 19% (won 16% of 32) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 27% (won 43% of 46) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 31% (won 60% of 52) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 24% (won 73% of 40) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | ndb1 | UnderperformingForALiving |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $4.0K | Yes $65K |