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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241ndb1UnderperformingForALiving
Record (consensus markets)no settled marketno settled market63% (990–573, n=1563)40% (78–118, n=196)
Consensus PnL——$3.2M$315K
Tracked as——PM monthly #106PM monthly #140
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position74% (82 of 111 open)33% (1 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yet
  • Soccer +17 pts n=25, ROI −2%
  • NHL +12 pts n=18, ROI −1%
Weakest topic——NFL −9 pts, n=139Geopolitics −9 pts, n=48
Settled positions, side won——64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%51% of 190 at avg 52¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢——13% (won 15% of 168)19% (won 14% of 37)
Entries 30–50¢——20% (won 39% of 256)26% (won 44% of 50)
Entries 50–70¢——24% (won 58% of 314)29% (won 59% of 56)
Entries 70¢ and up——43% (won 93% of 550)25% (won 77% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.