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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241fkALG2FalconsTESndb1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market78% (1336–366, n=1702)63% (987–572, n=1559)
Consensus PnL—$913K$3.2M
Tracked as—PM monthly #242PM monthly #103
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)75% (101 of 135 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Esports +22 pts n=1239, ROI +7%
  • NBA +13 pts n=507, ROI +6%
Weakest topic——NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won—92% of 1750 at avg 73¢, ROI +6%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 73% of 82)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢—17% (won 84% of 289)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢—25% (won 88% of 439)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up—54% (won 98% of 940)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.