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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241esticamosFlaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market54% (146–125, n=271)52% (6524–6030, n=12554)63% (990–573, n=1563)
Consensus PnL—$15K$3.5M$3.2M
Tracked as—was PM monthly #980PM monthly #23PM monthly #105
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position70% (176 of 252 open)74% (82 of 111 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Soccer +3 pts n=79, ROI −1%
  • MMA +12 pts n=21, ROI +5%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Tennis −1 pts, n=140Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won—69% of 249 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—18% (won 18% of 45)29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢—9% (won 55% of 22)16% (won 40% of 255)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢—15% (won 57% of 37)16% (won 62% of 260)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up—58% (won 90% of 145)39% (won 94% of 637)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.