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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241HomeRunHazardRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market54% (202–169, n=371)66% (489–253, n=742)
Consensus PnL—$228K-$129K
Tracked as—PM monthly #8PM monthly #46 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position71% (97 of 137 open)83% (15 of 18 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%100% of 206 at avg 68¢, ROI +33%
Entries under 30¢—1% (won 100% of 1)6% (won 100% of 12)
Entries 30–50¢—32% (won 100% of 31)13% (won 100% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢—57% (won 100% of 55)30% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 70¢ and up—10% (won 100% of 10)51% (won 100% of 106)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241HomeRunHazardRN1
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. South Florida Bulls
opposite sides · consensus Saint Joseph's Hawks
—South Florida Bulls $4Saint Joseph's Hawks $2.3K
Spread: East Carolina Pirates (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus East Carolina Pirates
—East Carolina Pirates $570North Carolina A&T Aggies $123
Spread: South Florida Bulls (-7.5)
same side · consensus Saint Joseph's Hawks
—Saint Joseph's Hawks $3.3KSaint Joseph's Hawks $34
North Carolina A&T Aggies vs. East Carolina Pirates: O/U 151.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $5Over $133