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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241Flaznorpndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)no settled market53% (5928–5310, n=11238)65% (889–469, n=1358)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)
Consensus PnL—$3.3M$4.2M$3.6M
Tracked as—PM monthly #17PM monthly #140PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position65% (277 of 424 open)73% (33 of 45 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢—17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 58% of 314)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up—38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241Flaznorpndb1primm
Ball State vs. UMass
opposite sides · consensus UMass
—UMass $444—Ball State $18