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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241Flaznorplaidaodaondb1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market53% (5701–5137, n=10838)69% (27–12, n=39)65% (870–459, n=1329)
Consensus PnL—$3.3M-$80$4.2M
Tracked as—PM monthly #22PM monthly #139PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position73% (142 of 194 open)100% (8 of 8 open)74% (25 of 34 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22Geopolitics −8 pts, n=15NFL −10 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%72% of 32 at avg 73¢, ROI −1%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 423)22% (won 0% of 7)13% (won 16% of 160)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 243)3% (won 100% of 1)20% (won 40% of 253)
Entries 50–70¢—17% (won 62% of 255)0%24% (won 57% of 310)
Entries 70¢ and up—38% (won 94% of 561)75% (won 92% of 24)43% (won 93% of 544)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.