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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | xxNyx | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 45% (553–663, n=1216) | 65% (885–467, n=1352) | 84% (1272–235, n=1507) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $11.2M | $4.2M | $91K |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #21 | Hand-picked |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 54% (20 of 37 open) | 80% (28 of 35 open) | 68% (30 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | Elections −5 pts, n=70 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 81% of 1845 at avg 79¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 13% (won 9% of 249) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 5% (won 51% of 89) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 6% (won 56% of 108) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 76% (won 97% of 1399) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | xxNyx |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $17K | — | No $845 |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $17K | — | Yes $825 |