← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | ifyouloveme | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 55% (309–249, n=558) | 65% (889–469, n=1358) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $9.4M | $32K | $4.2M |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #2 | was PM monthly #609 | PM monthly #140 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 55% (11 of 20 open) | 56% (15 of 27 open) | 73% (33 of 45 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Geopolitics ±0 pts, n=86 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 51% of 488 at avg 48¢, ROI +1% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 38% (won 14% of 184) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 15% (won 50% of 74) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 16% (won 59% of 79) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 31% (won 91% of 151) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | ifyouloveme | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $258K | Yes $1.4K | — |