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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | Newshound | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 71% (692–276, n=968) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | $11.0M | $65K | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #2 | was PM monthly #929 | — |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 66% (42 of 64 open) | 43% (12 of 28 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 72% of 968 at avg 59¢, ROI +9% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 23% (won 23% of 218) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 13% (won 65% of 124) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 17% (won 76% of 169) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 47% (won 95% of 457) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | Newshound | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $22K | Yes $3.1K | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $3.6K | No $498 | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $2.0K | Yes $524 | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $287K | Yes $1.2K | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $33K | Yes $2.4K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $4.2K | Yes $710 | — |