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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBankKaczkaRN1
Record (consensus markets)56% (101–79, n=180)45% (547–663, n=1210)52% (417–384, n=801)47% (14348–15981, n=30329)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$11.0M$16K$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #373PM monthly #1was PM monthly #997PM monthly #18 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position68% (78 of 114 open)50% (3 of 6 open)54% (40 of 74 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
  • Esports +29 pts n=408, ROI +24%
  • Soccer +28 pts n=75, ROI +17%
  • NBA +29 pts n=40, ROI +25%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%85% of 531 at avg 56¢, ROI +23%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 75% of 8)10% (won 81% of 57)5% (won 68% of 25)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 93% of 29)36% (won 98% of 201)22% (won 73% of 117)22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢42% (won 96% of 47)35% (won 99% of 196)62% (won 89% of 329)36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 96% of 27)19% (won 100% of 109)11% (won 92% of 60)32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBankKaczkaRN1
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $10KYes $535—