Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBankFlaznorpnehaip
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6524–6030, n=12554)70% (14–6, n=20)
Consensus PnL—$7.9M$3.5M$14K
Tracked as—PM monthly #3PM monthly #23PM monthly #589
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position82% (23 of 28 open)73% (316 of 434 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%88% of 17 at avg 67¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)29% (won 80% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)59% (won 100% of 10)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.