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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBankFlaznorpGdub
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6520–6024, n=12544)72% (619–237, n=856)
Consensus PnL—$7.9M$3.5M$13K
Tracked as—PM monthly #3PM monthly #23was PM monthly #999
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position86% (24 of 28 open)69% (288 of 416 open)68% (15 of 22 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22Elections −1 pts, n=146
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%77% of 779 at avg 74¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 15% of 95)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)8% (won 41% of 59)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)9% (won 67% of 70)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)71% (won 93% of 555)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBankFlaznorpGdub
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $63K—Yes $7.3K