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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241AckbarBreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (24–25, n=49)45% (572–710, n=1282)47% (14161–15670, n=29831)
Consensus PnL—-$34K$7.9M$14.8M
Tracked as—was PM monthly #998PM monthly #3PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)85% (23 of 27 open)57% (31 of 54 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic—NBA −2 pts, n=46——
Settled positions, side won—47% of 49 at avg 50¢, ROI −6%97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—2% (won 100% of 1)10% (won 82% of 60)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢—33% (won 31% of 16)35% (won 98% of 204)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢—65% (won 53% of 32)35% (won 100% of 202)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up—0%20% (won 100% of 116)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241AckbarBreakTheBankRN1
Magic vs. Suns: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $3.6K—Over $1.9K
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Heat
——Warriors $3.5KWarriors $510