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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5016c48436AB3eFA2Ab54b117d0C08fa1a4a1eEB-1778328420816Flaznorpgmpm2keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)no settled market75% (739–246, n=985)50% (2–2, n=4)44% (193–242, n=435)
Consensus PnL—$69K-$6.1K$17K
Tracked asPM monthly #677PM monthly #14PM monthly #71PM monthly #45
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position66% (74 of 112 open)no open consensus position73% (11 of 15 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Soccer −8 pts, n=40——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%56% of 9 at avg 54¢, ROI −10%100% of 134 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢—34% (won 10% of 30)0%5% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 30–50¢—19% (won 29% of 17)33% (won 67% of 3)38% (won 100% of 51)
Entries 50–70¢—13% (won 55% of 11)56% (won 40% of 5)50% (won 100% of 67)
Entries 70¢ and up—34% (won 83% of 30)11% (won 100% of 1)7% (won 100% of 9)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5016c48436AB3eFA2Ab54b117d0C08fa1a4a1eEB-1778328420816Flaznorpgmpm2keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud
opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud
—Alexander Shevchenko $958—Casper Ruud $5.2K
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Bucks $174—Lakers $3.2K
WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova
opposite sides · consensus Elina Svitolina
—Karolina Muchova $2.3K—Elina Svitolina $447
W35 Heraklion: Anna Petkovic vs Tina Nadine Smith
opposite sides · consensus Anna Petkovic
—Anna Petkovic $601—Tina Nadine Smith $917
BNP Paribas Nordic Open (Doubles): Pavlasek/Rikl vs Arends/Johnson
same side · consensus Pavlasek/Rikl
—Pavlasek/Rikl $4.1K—Pavlasek/Rikl $1.9K
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Daniel Altmaier
same side · consensus Buvaysar Gadamauri
—Buvaysar Gadamauri $1.8K—Buvaysar Gadamauri $3.2K
WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva
same side · consensus Aryna Sabalenka
—Aryna Sabalenka $984—Aryna Sabalenka $3.6K