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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| 0x4e2560...5cd7a7 | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 40% (347–513, n=860) | 64% (1097–630, n=1727) | 48% (18678–20261, n=38939) |
| Consensus PnL | $286K | $4.8M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #840 | PM monthly #97 | PM monthly #32 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 44% (80 of 181 open) | 74% (113 of 153 open) | 65% (31 of 48 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Other Sports −8 pts, n=41 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 1502 at avg 58¢, ROI −1% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 33% (won 5% of 502) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 38% of 99) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 65% of 130) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 51% (won 96% of 771) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x4e2560...5cd7a7 | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.6K | No $24K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.2K | Yes $1.9K | — |