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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x4e2560...5cd7a7BreakTheBankndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)40% (347–513, n=860)41% (589–853, n=1442)64% (1097–630, n=1727)49% (1224–1251, n=2475)
Consensus PnL$286K$7.6M$4.8M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #832PM monthly #3PM monthly #97PM monthly #55
Sides with the consensus44% (79 of 181 open)89% (31 of 35 open)72% (108 of 149 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topicOther Sports −8 pts, n=41—NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won59% of 1502 at avg 58¢, ROI −1%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢33% (won 5% of 502)10% (won 82% of 60)13% (won 14% of 187)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢7% (won 38% of 99)36% (won 98% of 212)19% (won 39% of 269)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢9% (won 65% of 130)35% (won 100% of 205)23% (won 57% of 328)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up51% (won 96% of 771)20% (won 100% of 116)44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x4e2560...5cd7a7BreakTheBankndb1primm
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $19KYes $76K——
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.6K—No $24K—
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $4.5KYes $1.0K——
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $128Yes $5.0K——
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $788Yes $2.6K——
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.2K—Yes $1.9K—
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.4KYes $27——
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $975Yes $28——
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $764Yes $80——
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $409KNo $337K—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $292KYes $11K—
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
No $4.8KNo $16K——
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $289Yes $164——