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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x4e25605fd905e9972efc0f4d8814530c655cd7a7BreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)59% (1042–738, n=1780)41% (616–869, n=1485)55% (13333–10716, n=24049)43% (10–13, n=23)
Consensus PnL$286K$8.4M$1.4M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #875PM monthly #1PM monthly #14PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus80% (179 of 223 open)91% (31 of 34 open)64% (100 of 157 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topicOther Sports −8 pts, n=41—NFL −24 pts, n=12—
Settled positions, side won59% of 1502 at avg 58¢, ROI −1%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢33% (won 5% of 502)10% (won 82% of 60)30% (won 9% of 919)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢7% (won 38% of 99)36% (won 98% of 212)15% (won 37% of 455)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢9% (won 65% of 130)35% (won 100% of 205)14% (won 63% of 439)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up51% (won 96% of 771)20% (won 100% of 116)42% (won 94% of 1302)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x4e25605fd905e9972efc0f4d8814530c655cd7a7BreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $301Yes $2.9K——
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.1KYes $69K——
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $512Yes $24K——
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
No $3.0KNo $15K——
Bills vs. Vikings
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $15KBills $77—
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $67Yes $484——
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $15Yes $99——
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $6Yes $42——
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $6Yes $23——