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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x4a1a27c4af018a874e97e551410953cb29e70208 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 95% (70–4, n=74) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 52% (6520–6024, n=12544) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) |
| Consensus PnL | $88K | $7.9M | $3.5M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #948 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #23 | PM monthly #105 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 86% (24 of 28 open) | 70% (269 of 382 open) | 74% (81 of 110 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 96% of 76 at avg 95¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 0% of 1) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 33% of 3) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 95% (won 100% of 72) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x4a1a27c4af018a874e97e551410953cb29e70208 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $7 | — | Yes $993K |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $407K | — | No $335K |