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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarlfantasy7788keeptheblueflagflyinghighHomeRunHazardnigiri99googleplay
| 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | guilttrip | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (10–8, n=18) | 86% (6–1, n=7) | 57% (37–28, n=65) |
| Consensus PnL | $792K | $13K | $440K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #25 | PM monthly #751 | PM monthly #33 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 29% (27 of 93 open) | 50% (4 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled |
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 10 at avg 50¢, ROI +50% | 71% of 7 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 37 at avg 58¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 29% (won 0% of 2) | 3% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 40% (won 100% of 4) | 0% | 32% (won 100% of 12) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 60% (won 100% of 6) | 57% (won 100% of 4) | 43% (won 100% of 16) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 14% (won 100% of 1) | 22% (won 100% of 8) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | guilttrip | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ian Buck be the next CEO of NVIDIA? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $1.3K | Yes $2.6K |
| Will there be no new be CEO of NVIDIA by December 31, 2028? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $45 | Yes $10 |